SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 82.58%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.63%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
82.58% ( -0.71) | 11.66% ( 0.48) | 5.75% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.36% ( -1.48) | 31.63% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.86% ( -1.76) | 53.13% ( 1.76) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.34% ( -0.41) | 5.66% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.09% ( -1.18) | 21.91% ( 1.18) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.92% ( -0.4) | 52.08% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.94% ( -0.26) | 86.05% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.47)4-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.06% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 11.66% | 0-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.03% Total : 5.75% |
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