SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
39.88% ( -2.01) | 24.44% ( 0.51) | 35.68% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( -2.13) | 43.16% ( 2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( -2.14) | 65.56% ( 2.15) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( -1.84) | 21.68% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( -2.9) | 54.83% ( 2.91) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.16) | 23.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.23) | 58.02% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.88% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.08% Total : 35.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
