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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
M

Famalicao
5 - 0
Moreirense

Pepe (25' pen.), Banza (31'), Marin (34'), Carlos Teixeira (45'), Dolcek (69')
Riccieli (29'), Alex (40'), Rodrigues (48'), Assuncao (51')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Santos (33'), Kewin (35'), Pacheco (44'), Rosic (55')

We said: Famalicao 1-2 Moreirense

Sunday's game sees two sides who have endured underwhelming campaigns in the Primeira Liga go toe to toe and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a much-needed win. However, we predict the visitors will carry on the momentum from their win over Belenenses and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawMoreirense
48.98%27.82%23.2%
Both teams to score 42.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.83%62.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13%81.86%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47%60.52%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93%43.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65%79.35%
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 48.97%
    Moreirense 23.2%
    Draw 27.81%
FamalicaoDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 15.02%
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.62%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 23.2%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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