We said: Famalicao 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
While Pacos de Ferreira arguably boast more quality on paper, Famalicao will come in with renewed confidence, and we fancy them to earn a point.
The loss of Denilson will be a big one for the visitors to deal with, and we ultimately predict a low-scoring draw on Sunday as Fama fight for another positive result.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
