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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
M

Benfica
1 - 1
Moreirense

Nunez (65')
Silva (55'), Otamendi (86'), Grimaldo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gilberto (61' og.)
Pacheco (40'), Martins (45+1'), Paulinho (72'), Jorge (89'), Kewin (90+6')

We said: Benfica 3-1 Moreirense

Benfica claimed a narrow victory against Moreirense in August, and with home advantage on Saturday, we think that they will have a slightly more comfortable afternoon as they bid to remain in touch with the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawMoreirense
77.7%14.37%7.94%
Both teams to score 46.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.61%58.39%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.42%7.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.86%27.15%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.61%49.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.77%84.23%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 77.69%
    Moreirense 7.94%
    Draw 14.37%
BenficaDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 12.46%
3-0 @ 10.71%
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 7.56%
4-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 4.87%
5-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.72%
6-0 @ 1.53%
6-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 77.69%
1-1 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 3.75%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 14.37%
0-1 @ 2.64%
1-2 @ 2.4%
0-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 7.94%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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