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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
FL

Moreirense
2 - 2
Famalicao

Martins (11' pen.), Luis (71')
Jorge (65'), Franco (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Banza (20', 47')
Riccieli (9'), Penetra (22'), Rodrigues (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawFamalicao
27.5%27.73%44.76%
Both teams to score 45.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67%59.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27%79.73%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43%37.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65%74.34%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 27.5%
    Famalicao 44.76%
    Draw 27.73%
MoreirenseDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 6.33%
2-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.5%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 13.21%
0-2 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.3%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.76%

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