Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.