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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Oct 28, 2020 at 9.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
GV

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Sporar (82'), Tomas (84'), Goncalves (90+6')
Palhinha (1'), Neto (60'), Feddal (64'), Goncalves (64'), Sporar (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mineiro (52')
Denis (35'), Afonso (37'), Miullen (66'), Sam (88')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawGil Vicente
55.87%25.08%19.05%
Both teams to score 44.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1%56.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18%77.82%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64%20.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23%52.77%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.57%44.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53%80.47%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 55.85%
    Gil Vicente 19.05%
    Draw 25.08%
Sporting LisbonDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.39%
2-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 4.93%
4-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 55.85%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.05%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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