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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
P

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Porto

Santos (9'), Vietto (87')
Pontes (11'), Neto (45+7'), Feddal (61'), Vietto (78'), Coates (79')
Amorim (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Uribe (25'), Corona (45')
Corona (19'), Sanusi (20'), Otavio (54'), Marchesin (86')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
28.33%25.52%46.14%
Both teams to score 52.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45%50.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53%72.47%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79%32.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3%68.7%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.16%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 28.33%
    Porto 46.14%
    Draw 25.52%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 46.14%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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