Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
22.67% | 25.79% | 51.54% |
Both teams to score 47.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.31% | 55.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.16% | 76.84% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.13% | 39.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.46% | 76.54% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% | 21.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% | 54.79% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.31% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.67% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.54% |
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