SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 15.95% | 22.93% | 61.11% |
| Both teams to score 44.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% | 53.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% | 74.88% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.82% | 46.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.14% | 81.86% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% | 17.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.77% | 47.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% 2-1 @ 4.16% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.95% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 13.93% 0-2 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.11% |
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