Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
