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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
GV

Porto
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Evanilson (41')
Sanusi (26'), Uribe (30'), Nakajima (73'), Pepe (74'), Paulo Marceneiro Conceicao (90+6')
Sanusi (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nogueira (58'), Afonso (86')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Gil Vicente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawGil Vicente
72.28%17.6%10.12%
Both teams to score 44.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68%44.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31%66.7%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14%10.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.03%34.97%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.94%50.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.3%84.7%
Score Analysis
    Porto 72.28%
    Gil Vicente 10.12%
    Draw 17.6%
PortoDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 13.39%
1-0 @ 12.07%
3-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 5.5%
4-1 @ 3.81%
5-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.37%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.32%
6-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 72.28%
1-1 @ 8.35%
0-0 @ 5.44%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.6%
0-1 @ 3.76%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 10.12%


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