Maritimo
1 - 1
Belenenses

Costa (45+5')
Joel (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Safira (13' pen.)
Tavares (26'), Akas (32'), van der Gaag (45+3')
van der Gaag (67')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Maritimo 2-0 Belenenses

Looking at the recent trends of the two sides, we can only see Maritimo coming out as comfortable winners on Sunday. Os Verde-Rubros have taken huge strides under Seabra, and we back them to make it four straight wins against a Belenenses side devoid of any confidence at the foot of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Belenenses
40.81%	29%	30.19%

Both teams to score 43.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.44%

62.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.85%

82.14%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88%

30.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74%

66.26%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81%

37.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02%

73.97%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 40.81%

Belenenses 30.18%

Draw 28.99%

Maritimo	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.98% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 0.97% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.81%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.78% Total : 30.18%