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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
B

Maritimo
1 - 0
Belenenses

Joel (90+3')
Pinho (22'), Bambock (52'), Fumu Tamuzo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sousa (38'), Kritsyuk (46'), Ribeiro (47'), Ramires (76'), Lima (90+6')
Kritsyuk (60'), Phete (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maritimo in this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawBelenenses
36.74%29.02%34.23%
Both teams to score 44.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.05%61.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.3%81.7%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08%33.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 36.74%
    Belenenses 34.23%
    Draw 29.01%
MaritimoDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 11.83%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.23%

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