We said: Moreirense 1-2 Estoril Praia
Moreirense have lost each of their last three games and while they will be aiming to end this dry spell, next up is an Estoril Praia side who have been impressive on the road this term. Despite their cup exit, the visitors head into the game as the more in-form side and we are backing them to pick up the win in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
