Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 33.89%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 32.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.77%) and 1-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (14.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (16.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood.
