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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
SL

Maritimo
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Morais (30'), Rene (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (9', 57')
Pereira (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.8%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawSporting Lisbon
14.09%21.48%64.44%
Both teams to score 44.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95%51.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09%72.9%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.55%47.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.18%82.82%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84%15.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24%43.76%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 14.09%
    Sporting Lisbon 64.43%
    Draw 21.47%
MaritimoDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.36%
2-1 @ 3.77%
2-0 @ 2%
3-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 13.57%
0-2 @ 12.8%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 6%
0-4 @ 3.8%
1-4 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-5 @ 1.43%
1-5 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 64.43%

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