Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
