SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 44.06% | 27.34% | 28.59% |
| Both teams to score 47.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.56% | 57.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.75% | 78.25% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.1% | 60.89% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.57% | 72.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.59% |
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