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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 26, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
SL

Boavista
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Paulinho (87'), Nathan (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Santos (24'), Porro (77')
Palhinha (79'), Mario (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.42%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawSporting Lisbon
13.69%22.15%64.16%
Both teams to score 41.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67%54.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28%75.72%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.94%50.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.3%84.7%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64%16.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01%45.99%
Score Analysis
    Boavista 13.69%
    Sporting Lisbon 64.16%
    Draw 22.15%
BoavistaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.67%
2-1 @ 3.55%
2-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 13.69%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 14.83%
0-2 @ 13.42%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-3 @ 8.1%
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-4 @ 3.66%
1-4 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-5 @ 1.33%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 64.16%

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