SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.42%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 13.69% | 22.15% | 64.16% |
| Both teams to score 41.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% | 54.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.28% | 75.72% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.94% | 50.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.3% | 84.7% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% | 16.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.01% | 45.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.67% 2-1 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 13.69% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 14.83% 0-2 @ 13.42% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-4 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.16% |
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