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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
SL

Nacional
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Micael (11'), Simoes da Vinha (42'), Borges (61'), Freitas (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Santos (43'), Cabral (90')
Feddal (27'), Amorim (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawSporting Lisbon
21.31%24.79%53.9%
Both teams to score 48.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67%53.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12%74.88%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1%39.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44%76.56%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22%51.78%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 21.31%
    Sporting Lisbon 53.89%
    Draw 24.79%
NacionalDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.24%
2-1 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.31%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 12.78%
0-2 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 53.89%

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