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Sunday, April 28
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Feb 1, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
 
B

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Benfica

Nunes (90+2')
Tomas (15'), Neto (40'), Tabata (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gilberto (13'), Weigl (16'), Otamendi (53'), Pizzi (75'), Gabriel (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
30.44%26.28%43.28%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71%74.29%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26%31.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83%68.17%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54%58.46%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 30.44%
    Benfica 43.28%
    Draw 26.27%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.44%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 7.74%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.28%

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