Nacional
1 - 3
Benfica

Pedrao (8')
Vigario (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (78' og.), Ramos (81', 86')
Chiquinho (34'), Gilberto (55'), Grimaldo (80')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.88%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Benfica
6.48%	13.54%	79.97%

Both teams to score 41.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76%

38.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.47%

60.53%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.29%

54.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.29%

87.7%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.46%

7.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.97%

27.03%

Score Analysis

Nacional 6.48%

Benfica 79.97%

Draw 13.54%

Nacional	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.49% 2-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 6.48%	1-1 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.12% 2-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.48% Total : 13.54%	0-2 @ 13.78% 0-3 @ 11.88% 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-4 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 7.17% 1-4 @ 4.63% 0-5 @ 3.97% 1-5 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-6 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 79.97%