Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
