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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Feb 2, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
PD

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira

Abbas (88')
Baraye (19'), Lourency (52'), Talocha (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amaral (16'), Carlos (35')
Singh (30'), Fonseca (64'), Rebocho (75'), Eustaquio (90+2'), Ferreira (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawPacos de Ferreira
28.62%28.33%43.05%
Both teams to score 44.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.13%60.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.1%80.89%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.28%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96%28.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31%63.69%
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 28.62%
    Pacos de Ferreira 43.04%
    Draw 28.32%
Gil VicenteDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 28.62%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 13.36%
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-3 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.15%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 43.04%

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