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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
B

Porto
2 - 0
Belenenses

Martinez (19'), Diaz (65')
Oliveira (26'), Diaz (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boni (36'), Calila (47'), Teixeira (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBelenenses
61.38%22.11%16.5%
Both teams to score 48.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74%49.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68%71.32%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44%15.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5%44.5%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.97%43.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.69%79.31%
Score Analysis
    Porto 61.38%
    Belenenses 16.5%
    Draw 22.11%
PortoDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.56%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 61.38%
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 5.65%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 16.5%

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