Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.4%) and 0-3 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
