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RA
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave
FL

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Farense

Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
40.53%28.99%30.48%
Both teams to score 44.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.55%62.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94%82.06%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78%30.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61%66.39%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1%36.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31%73.69%
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 40.52%
    SC Farense 30.48%
    Draw 28.99%
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 13.34%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.96%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.48%

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