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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 5, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
B

Farense
1 - 2
Braga

P (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBraga
24.48%26.16%49.37%
Both teams to score 47.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44%55.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27%76.73%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9%38.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14%74.86%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86%56.14%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 24.48%
    Braga 49.36%
    Draw 26.15%
SC FarenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-1 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 24.48%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 12.79%
0-2 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-3 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.36%

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