SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 50.21% | 24.85% | 24.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% | 50.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% | 72.12% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% | 19.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.53% | 71.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.93% |
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