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P
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
B

Porto
2 - 3
Braga

Otavio (30'), Marega (75')
Otavio (84')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ruiz (9', 14'), Piazon (28')
Esgaio (43'), Piazon (77'), Magalhaes (80')
Borja (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
50.21%24.85%24.93%
Both teams to score 52.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84%50.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87%72.12%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01%19.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83%52.17%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26%34.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.46%
Score Analysis
    Porto 50.2%
    Braga 24.93%
    Draw 24.85%
PortoDrawBraga
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.93%

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