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VD
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Feb 17, 2021 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
FL

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Farense

Pepelu (14'), Edwards (36')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gauld (21' pen.), Stojiljkovic (79')
Pinto (38'), Abner (55')
Pinto (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSC Farense
48.17%27.24%24.59%
Both teams to score 45.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69%59.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29%79.71%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.28%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9%40.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26%76.74%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 48.17%
    SC Farense 24.59%
    Draw 27.24%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 13.85%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.59%

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