Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
