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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 5, 2021 at 9pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
SL

Moreirense
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Silva (90')
Ba (39'), Pasinato (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paulinho (21')
Tomas (78'), Inacio (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawSporting Lisbon
14.98%22.11%62.91%
Both teams to score 44.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13%51.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38%73.62%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36%46.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78%82.21%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06%15.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79%45.21%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 14.98%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.9%
    Draw 22.11%
MoreirenseDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.67%
2-1 @ 3.97%
2-0 @ 2.16%
3-1 @ 1.01%
3-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.98%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 13.65%
0-2 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-3 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 5.85%
0-4 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-5 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.03%
1-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 62.9%

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