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SL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 20, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
 
VD

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Inacio (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
53.3%25.75%20.96%
Both teams to score 45.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82%57.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96%78.04%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47%21.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41%54.59%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53%42.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16%78.85%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 53.29%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 20.96%
    Draw 25.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 14.04%
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 4.73%
4-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.96%

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