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SL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 5, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
 
SC

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Goncalves (22'), Coates (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Costa (84')
Carvalho (41'), Cardoso (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
59.42%24.1%16.48%
Both teams to score 42.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25%56.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3%77.7%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07%18.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56%50.44%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.47%47.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12%82.88%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 59.42%
    Santa Clara 16.48%
    Draw 24.1%
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 14.97%
2-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.14%
4-0 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.91%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 9%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.69%
1-2 @ 4.14%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.48%

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