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SL
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
B

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Besiktas

Goncalves (31' pen., 38'), Paulinho (41'), Sarabia (56')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Souza (50'), Larin (50')
Souza (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Besiktas win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBesiktas
57.75%22.04%20.21%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71%43.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31%65.69%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27%14.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.06%42.94%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7%35.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 57.75%
    Besiktas 20.21%
    Draw 22.04%
Sporting LisbonDrawBesiktas
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.54%
3-1 @ 6.34%
3-0 @ 6.09%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 3.04%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 57.75%
1-1 @ 10.37%
0-0 @ 5.2%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.41%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.21%

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