Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
