Moreirense
1 - 2
Tondela

Aurelio (70')
Conte (44'), Vitoria (88'), Nuno (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedro (45' pen.), Pepelu (90' pen.)
Toro (27'), Murillo (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
42.66%	28.05%	29.29%

Both teams to score 46.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35%

59.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03%

79.97%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33%

27.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78%

63.22%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7%

36.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92%

73.08%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 42.65%

Tondela 29.28%

Draw 28.04%

Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.65%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.28%