Gil Vicente
3 - 2
Tondela

Ribeiro (29'), Fernandes (57'), Kraev (64')
Banguera (41'), Nogueira (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tavares (73'), Toro (84')
Pedro (51'), Pepelu (81'), Murillo (87'), Valente (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.02%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Tondela
45.02%	28.02%	26.96%

Both teams to score 44.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.44%

60.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34%

80.66%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14%

26.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84%

62.16%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.3%

38.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.56%

75.44%

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 45.02%

Tondela 26.96%

Draw 28.02%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 8.98% 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.96%