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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
SL

Portimonense
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Possignolo (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mendes (4'), Santos (11')
Coates (46')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
27.46%26.22%46.32%
Both teams to score 50.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19%53.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72%75.28%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4%34.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67%71.33%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91%57.09%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 27.46%
    Sporting Lisbon 46.31%
    Draw 26.21%
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 6.6%
2-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.46%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.31%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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