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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Nov 27, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
VD

Tondela
0 - 2
Guimaraes


Pedro (47')
Agra (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Andre (56' pen.), Duarte (63')
Almeida (54'), Maddox (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
19.1%25.44%55.45%
Both teams to score 43.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93%58.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26%78.74%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02%80.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79%20.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23%53.77%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 19.1%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.45%
    Draw 25.44%
TondelaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-1 @ 4.69%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 14.76%
0-2 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-3 @ 6%
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-4 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.45%


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