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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
1 - 1
Gorica

Tuci (51')
Maric (74'), Zivkovic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Matavz (77')
Stiglec (85')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 0-4 NK Lokomotiva
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawGorica
42.8% (0.596 0.6) 26.59% (-0.106 -0.11) 30.61% (-0.489 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.91% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.24 0.24)53.79% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.201 0.2)75.26% (-0.203 -0.2)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.411 0.41)24.9% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.57 0.57)59.52% (-0.572 -0.57)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)32.21% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.256 -0.26)68.71% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 42.8%
    Gorica 30.61%
    Draw 26.59%
NK LokomotivaDrawGorica
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-4 NK Lokomotiva
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, September 23 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-0 Rudes
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Osijek
Saturday, August 26 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Gorica
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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