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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
1 - 0
NK Lokomotiva

Sahiti (76')
Sahiti (52'), Krovinovic (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mudrazija (31'), Mersinaj (80')
Mersinaj (85')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-0 Rudes
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Lokomotiva
62.09% (-0.105 -0.11) 22.18% (0.032 0.03) 15.72% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.28% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)15.86% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93% (-0.067 -0.07)45.07% (0.067 0.07)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01% (0.091999999999999 0.09)44.99% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.07% (0.071999999999999 0.07)80.93% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 62.08%
    NK Lokomotiva 15.73%
    Draw 22.18%
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 62.08%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 15.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 20 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: PAOK 3-0 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 17 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, August 13 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-0 Rudes
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Osijek
Saturday, August 26 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-3 Varazdin
Friday, August 4 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 29 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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