SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Gorica |
42.02% ( -0.09) | 26.69% ( 0.11) | 31.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( -0.45) | 53.97% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.37) | 75.42% ( 0.38) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.25) | 25.38% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.82% ( -0.34) | 60.18% ( 0.35) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.24) | 31.83% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( -0.28) | 68.27% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.29% |
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