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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
0 - 1
Gorica


Hujber (8'), Maresic (79'), Petrusenko (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Majstorovic (36')
Ndockyt (55'), Matej Juric (78'), Juric (78')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawGorica
42.02% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 26.69% (0.112 0.11) 31.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-0.445 -0.45)53.97% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-0.374 -0.37)75.42% (0.38000000000001 0.38)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.247 -0.25)25.38% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (-0.342 -0.34)60.18% (0.347 0.35)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.23899999999999 -0.24)31.83% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (-0.276 -0.28)68.27% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 42.02%
    Gorica 31.29%
    Draw 26.69%
NK Istra 1961DrawGorica
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Rudes
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 2-2 Istra 1961
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 4-4 Osijek
Sunday, August 13 at 5.55pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 6-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Gorica
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 29 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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