SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
49.47% ( -0.58) | 24.9% ( 0.21) | 25.63% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -0.57) | 49.77% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.52) | 71.78% ( 0.52) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.47) | 20.14% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( -0.75) | 52.41% ( 0.76) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0) | 33.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.39% ( 0) | 70.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.63% |
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