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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
1 - 0
Istra 1961

Postonjski (74' pen.)
Jelenic (1'), Postonjski (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Catala (2'), Josipovic (20'), Maresic (44'), Blagojevic (53')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 2-2 Varazdin
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawNK Istra 1961
49.47% (-0.584 -0.58) 24.9% (0.213 0.21) 25.63% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.573 -0.57)49.77% (0.575 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.516 -0.52)71.78% (0.518 0.52)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (-0.467 -0.47)20.14% (0.468 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59% (-0.754 -0.75)52.41% (0.756 0.76)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 49.47%
    NK Istra 1961 25.63%
    Draw 24.89%
NK VarazdinDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 2-2 Varazdin
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-3 Varazdin
Friday, August 4 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Sunday, July 23 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Rudes
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 2-2 Istra 1961
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 4-4 Osijek
Sunday, August 13 at 5.55pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 6-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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