Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.
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