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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
0 - 0
Varazdin


Kapulica (44'), Prsir (62')
FT

Mitrovski (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gorica 3-0 Rudes
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Beltinci 2-2 Varazdin
Saturday, July 27 at 9am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Varazdin
49.14% (1.386 1.39) 26.35% (-0.429 -0.43) 24.5% (-0.959 -0.96)
Both teams to score 47.41% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (0.876 0.88)56.26% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (0.703 0.7)77.3% (-0.703 -0.7)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (1.013 1.01)22.95% (-1.015 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (1.472 1.47)56.73% (-1.473 -1.47)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.371 -0.37)38.47% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.356 -0.36)75.22% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 49.14%
    NK Varazdin 24.5%
    Draw 26.35%
GoricaDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.246 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.256 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.201 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.376 -0.38)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gorica 3-0 Rudes
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Gorica
Wednesday, July 24 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Budafoki MTE 3-0 Gorica
Saturday, July 20 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Gorica 2-0 Istra 1961
Friday, May 24 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Rudes
Friday, May 10 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Beltinci 2-2 Varazdin
Saturday, July 27 at 9am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ilirija 0-1 Varazdin
Tuesday, July 16 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Varazdin 0-2 Osijek
Saturday, May 25 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 3-1 Rijeka
Saturday, May 11 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Varazdin
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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