SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Sibenik |
46.03% ( -0.14) | 27.03% ( 0.22) | 26.95% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.85% ( -0.83) | 57.15% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( -0.67) | 78.02% ( 0.67) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.43) | 24.8% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.62% ( -0.61) | 59.38% ( 0.62) |
| Sibenik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.52) | 36.84% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( -0.52) | 73.62% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Sibenik |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.95% |
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