Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
NK Varazdin	Draw	Hajduk Split
18.52% ( 0.55)	24.68% ( 0.55)	56.8% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.91% (

-1.28)

56.09% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

-1.05)

77.16% (

1.05)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

-0.09)

44.57% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.08)

80.59% (

0.07)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.91)

19.68% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-1.51)

51.66% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

NK Varazdin 18.52%

Hajduk Split 56.79%

Draw 24.67%

NK Varazdin	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.52%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 11.58% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.57% Total : 56.79%