SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 27.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
44.65% ( -0.17) | 28.01% ( 0.15) | 27.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.09% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( -0.5) | 60.35% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( -0.38) | 80.5% ( 0.38) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( -0.32) | 26.95% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( -0.42) | 62.28% ( 0.42) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% ( -0.26) | 38.27% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.97% ( -0.25) | 75.02% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.33% |
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