Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec
Mitrovski (19'), Mamic (51')
Belcar (29'), Borsic (39'), Latkovic (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kolar (55')
Bracovic (0'), Majic (71')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Gorica.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 27.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.
| Result |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
44.65% ( -0.17) | 28.01% ( 0.15) | 27.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.09% ( -0.39) |
| 39.64% ( -0.5) | 60.35% ( 0.5) |
| 19.49% ( -0.38) | 80.5% ( 0.38) |
| 73.05% ( -0.32) | 26.95% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.42) | 62.28% ( 0.42) |
| 61.73% ( -0.26) | 38.27% ( 0.26) |
